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Abstract

This caselet can be used for teaching the concepts of probability including conditional probability and Bayes' theorem. The caselet provides a brief about selection of candidates by the political parties in India for the general elections. New Progressive Party, a newly launched political party in India, having analyzed and understood the pulse of the public, tries to select the candidates for the general elections much before its schedule. The selection crieteria was based on - age, education, clean image (without corruption charges), gender, etc. The Party Secretary wanted to estimate the chances of selection of a candidate in random with possible combinations of gender, age, education and a clean image. The caselet focuses on the use of Bayes' theorem in estimating the probability of selection of candidate - a female and of age less than 45 years, in random with possible combinations.
Other setting(s):
2013

About

Abstract

This caselet can be used for teaching the concepts of probability including conditional probability and Bayes' theorem. The caselet provides a brief about selection of candidates by the political parties in India for the general elections. New Progressive Party, a newly launched political party in India, having analyzed and understood the pulse of the public, tries to select the candidates for the general elections much before its schedule. The selection crieteria was based on - age, education, clean image (without corruption charges), gender, etc. The Party Secretary wanted to estimate the chances of selection of a candidate in random with possible combinations of gender, age, education and a clean image. The caselet focuses on the use of Bayes' theorem in estimating the probability of selection of candidate - a female and of age less than 45 years, in random with possible combinations.

Settings

Other setting(s):
2013

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