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Management article
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Reference no. U9804B
Authors: Loren Gary
Published by: Harvard Business Publishing
Published in: "Harvard Management Update", 1998

Abstract

Managers'' ability to take a purely rational approach to decision making is hampered by insufficient information about the problems themselves, the data available, and perceptions that inhibit managers'' ability to determine optimal choices. Our judgment is directed by a set of systematic biases, or heuristics. This article discusses the three broad heuristics--the availability heuristic, the representativeness heuristic, and anchoring and adjustment--and identifies the thirteen most common decision-making mistakes managers make.

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Abstract

Managers'' ability to take a purely rational approach to decision making is hampered by insufficient information about the problems themselves, the data available, and perceptions that inhibit managers'' ability to determine optimal choices. Our judgment is directed by a set of systematic biases, or heuristics. This article discusses the three broad heuristics--the availability heuristic, the representativeness heuristic, and anchoring and adjustment--and identifies the thirteen most common decision-making mistakes managers make.

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