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Management article
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Reference no. 84402
Published by: Harvard Business Publishing
Published in: "Harvard Business Review", 1984

Abstract

Operating cash flow (OCF) is an increasingly popular measure of a company''s performance, but a study of nearly 300 businesses raises doubt about its reliability as a financial indicator. The study matches 60 companies that had filed for bankruptcy between 1971 and 1982 with 230 nonbankrupt companies chosen randomly from the Compustat Industrial Tape. The study found that OCF figures (OCF, OCF/current liabilities, and OCF/total liabilities) over five years before filing for bankruptcy were poor predictors of failure.

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Abstract

Operating cash flow (OCF) is an increasingly popular measure of a company''s performance, but a study of nearly 300 businesses raises doubt about its reliability as a financial indicator. The study matches 60 companies that had filed for bankruptcy between 1971 and 1982 with 230 nonbankrupt companies chosen randomly from the Compustat Industrial Tape. The study found that OCF figures (OCF, OCF/current liabilities, and OCF/total liabilities) over five years before filing for bankruptcy were poor predictors of failure.

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